Temperatures increase but so do clouds, rain chances the rest of the week

First 60° highs in over four weeks in sight

TODAY: Some sun will fade behind increasing clouds; a shower in spots late this afternoon. High: 48

TONIGHT:  Mostly cloudy with a period of rain. A bit of freezing rain possible in the Poconos. Low: 35

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with a shower in spots early. More rain returns Wednesday night. High: 51 Low: 43

Although Monday was likely the sunniest day of the week and is now in the past, the mildest weather of the week (and perhaps of the month of March so far) still lies in front of us. Unfortunately, the warmer temperatures will come with a price, and that is more clouds and some occasional showers as early as late today and then continuing on and off through early Friday. Despite the increased clouds and rain chances, we could see our first 60-degree temperatures in over four weeks by Friday.

Tuesday will begin the same way Monday did, with mostly clear skies, light winds, and cold temperatures from 25 to 35 degrees. High pressure over Maine will provide a dry start to the day with some morning sunshine and a light easterly breeze which will keep temperatures on the cooler side of average for another day, likely in the upper 40s this afternoon. Clouds will gradually increase and thicken as the afternoon progresses, and some light rain will approach from the west late this afternoon ahead of a warm front, the leading edge of the warmer air we look to enjoy for the rest of the week.

Mostly cloudy skies are expected overnight as the warm front creeps closer, with a period of some light rain expected. Just enough cold air may hang on through the Poconos and the higher elevations of far northwestern New Jersey for a little light freezing rain overnight, so some slick spots and light icing is possible if that materializes. Rainfall amounts are expected to remain light, generally a tenth of an inch of rain or so. Given the clouds and less cold southeasterly breeze, expect a less cold night with lows likely remaining in the low to mid 30s.

The clouds will likely dominate our skies over the next few days, with Wednesday and Thursday likely remaining mostly cloudy, although some breaks of sun are possible from time to time. While it should be more cloudy than sunny, it should also stay more dry than wet, even though some scattered showers are possible from time to time. After a few morning showers linger early Wednesday, much of the day may end up largely rain-free. Then another round of some steadier light rain may arrive Wednesday night into early Thursday, with much of Thursday remaining likewise dry. Then as we rinse and repeat the same pattern, one final round of light rain may impact us later Thursday night into Friday morning, with the steadiest rain and heavier totals likely remaining to our northwest. Unsettled? Yes. Washouts or big storms? No.

The best part of the unsettled pattern is the milder temperatures that the pattern will bring, thanks to a warmer south to southwest wind ahead of the frontal system that will be responsible for the daily rain chances. Expect highs to top 50 degrees on Wednesday, and then likely be around 60 degrees both Thursday and Friday, dependent on how much sunshine is able to break through the clouds. As a cold front sweeps any rain and most of the clouds offshore later Friday, that’s our better chance for more appreciable sunshine and therefore probably our better chance for some 60 degree temperatures as well, for the first time since March 1st. Clouds and a lingering shower or two early Friday should give way to a mix of clouds and sun by afternoon.

With our front off the coast in time for the holiday weekend, the prospects for a dry Easter and Passover look pretty good, although temperatures will trend slightly cooler behind our front. Expect a mix of clouds and sunshine on Saturday then sunshine followed by increasing clouds on Easter Sunday. While some rain is likely Sunday night and Monday, ideally we can squeeze in a mostly dry Sunday before the next round of wet weather arrives, presuming Mother Nature has no April Fool’s jokes up her sleeve for Sunday. Weekend high temperatures will likely top out in the mid 50s both days, which is close to average for late March into early April.

Looking ahead to the first week of April, a somewhat cool and unsettled pattern may be setting up, with rain chances every other day and temperatures trending slight cooler and below average into the low 50s for highs most of next week.

Have a good day and a great week!

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Allentown, PA 18102




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