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Weather Forecast Discussion

A little rain late tonight and early Wednesday, mainly south and east

A chilly Thanksgiving despite plenty of sunshine

TONIGHT: Thickening cloudiness; a bit of rain late, mainly south and east. Low: 42

WEDNESDAY: Brisk and cooler with clouds giving way to sun; some rain early, mainly south and east, then brief rain or snow shower. High: 51

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear, brisk and colder. Low: 23

Temperatures on Tuesday climbed into the mid and upper 50 thanks to a combination of southwesterly winds out ahead of our next cold front and a decent amount of sunshine. While there was still a breeze at times on Tuesday is wasn't nearly as windy as Sunday or Monday.

We'll be watching the aforementioned cold front approach from the west overnight. However, the front is relatively moisture starved this far south, so this front will not be responsible for most of the rain we see late tonight and first thing Wednesday morning. For that we turn a wave of low pressure off the southeastern coast of the United State the will travel northeast overnight. This wave of low pressure will brush the area with rain Wednesday morning, but most of what falls will occur south and east of the I-95 corridor. As a result, rainfall totals will vary from a few hundredths to a .10" in the Lehigh Valley, Berks County and Poconos to .10" to .25" in the Delaware Valley and anywhere from .25" to possibly 1.0" of rain along the Jersey Shore and parts of southern New Jersey. With all of this going on tonight temperatures will remain mild as the only dip into the low 40s as the clouds continue to thicken.

Wednesday will start off with cloudy skies and some rain, but by midday that cold front will move through pushing the clouds and rain out to sea. That means the morning clouds will give way to more and more sunshine as the day unfolds. It’s traditionally the busiest travel day of the year, so other than some wet roads points south and east early in the day the weather should cooperate. Our winds will shift again and once again blow rather briskly, this time from the northwest. That’s a colder wind direction and those breezes will usher in a modest shot of colder air just in time for the Thanksgiving holiday, which right now looks a bit chilly but also dry and pleasant. However, those winds may also usher in an afternoon or evening rain or snow shower from the Great Lakes, but those showers won't amount to much.

Both Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday should feature mostly sunny skies, although temperatures will be cooler than average each day. Our average high for late November is around 50 degrees, and we’ll be running in the mid to upper 40s each day. The nights look a little cold as well but nothing extreme, as you should wake up to temperatures in the mid-20s each morning, so dress warmly if you’re heading out to Thanksgiving morning football games or Black Friday shopping lines. Winds should be lighter by the end of the week, and we should finally be able to remove the word breezy from the forecast, which means the wind chill won’t be as much of a factor as it has been lately.

Our next cold front comes through later Saturday, and like its predecessor also has little moisture to work with. A shower or two may precede its passage, and then some cold and windy weather will follow for Sunday into Monday. A lake effect rain or snow shower is possible as the core of the cold air passes overhead. Otherwise, we’ll remain partly sunny, blustery, cold, and mostly dry early next week.


10 Day Forecast

  • Tuesday

    56° / 40°
    Mostly Sunny; Breezy, Mild 0%
  • Wednesday

    51° / 23°
    Brisk with AM Rain, then Sun 20%
  • Thursday

    44° / 27°
    Chilly Despite Plenty of Sun 0%
  • Friday

    49° / 31°
    Mostly Sunny 0%
  • Saturday

    54° / 36°
    Breezy with Sun and Clouds 20%
  • Sunday

    42° / 25°
    Blustery; Rain or Snow Shower 60%
  • Monday

    42° / 28°
    Cold; Sun with Patchy Clouds 20%
  • Tuesday

    51° / 35°
    Partly Sunny and Mild 0%
  • Wednesday

    51° / 33°
    Variable Clouds 0%
  • Thursday

    45° / 28°
    Mostly Cloudy; Rain Possible 30%

STORMCENTER UPDATE

Historical Averages

High Low
Current 56°F 40°F
Average 49°F 31°F
Record 73°F November 21, 1931 17°F November 21, 1951

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